The 2024 U.S. presidential election culminated in the surprising yet powerful return of Donald Trump to the White House. His victory highlighted the profound divisions within American society and reflected the demand for change by a significant portion of the population. This win was achieved due to several key factors, including an economic agenda, an appeal to conservative values, and a successful strategy of direct communication with voters. However, the election results also underscore the growing rift between different social groups within the United States. This article examines the reasons for Trump’s victory, the domestic and international consequences of his return to power, and forecasts its impact on U.S. relations with China and Kazakhstan.
The foundation of Donald Trump’s success lay in an effective election strategy and his ability to mobilize broad segments of the population dissatisfied with the current socio-economic situation in the country. Economic populism once again became the central theme of his campaign. Trump’s promises to bring manufacturing back to the U.S., reduce taxes, and ensure stability amidst inflation and rising housing costs gained significant support from the working class and rural residents.
Another important aspect was his emphasis on traditional family values, religion, and cultural issues. His conservative agenda strengthened his position among religious groups, particularly evangelicals and Catholics. Trump actively utilized social media and held numerous rallies, enabling him to bypass criticism from traditional media and establish direct connections with voters.
Swing states, such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia, played a pivotal role in Trump’s victory. These regions, crucial in the Electoral College system, delivered Trump the necessary majority of votes, even though his opponent, Kamala Harris, secured more votes nationwide.
Societal Division and Challenges of Presidency
The election results vividly demonstrated the deep polarization within American society. Urban metropolises and progressive populations favored Kamala Harris, while rural areas and industrial centers supported Trump. This divide reflects not only geographical but also cultural and social differences within the country.
Domestically, Trump’s administration will face numerous challenges. Restoring trust in political institutions, combating inflation, strengthening the healthcare system, and addressing the migration crisis will become priorities for his second term. However, political polarization is likely to complicate the implementation of many initiatives, especially given the opposition from Democrats in Congress.
International Implications of Trump’s Victory
Donald Trump’s return to the White House will significantly alter U.S. foreign policy. A key focus will be on tougher policies toward China. Trade wars, new tariffs and sanctions, and restricting access for Chinese tech companies to the American market will be central elements of this strategy. Additionally, harsh rhetoric toward China is expected to continue, potentially escalating tensions in the Asia-Pacific region.
Moreover, Trump’s presidency might entail reduced U.S. participation in global initiatives, such as climate change efforts and support for international alliances. This could provide China with more opportunities to expand its influence, especially in developing countries.
Relations with the European Union and NATO may also face challenges. Trump’s protectionist policies and “America First” agenda could intensify disagreements with Washington’s traditional allies.
Forecasts for U.S. Relations with China and Kazakhstan
Trump’s presidency is likely to mark a new stage in the economic and geopolitical rivalry between the U.S. and China. Additional tariffs and sanctions will increase pressure on the Chinese economy, prompting Beijing to focus more on its domestic market and seek new partnerships. At the same time, China is expected to continue expanding its influence through the Belt and Road Initiative, strengthening its presence in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.
For Kazakhstan, Trump’s return presents both opportunities and potential risks. On one hand, deeper economic cooperation, particularly in the energy sector, is anticipated. Kazakhstan remains a strategic partner of the U.S. in Central Asia, providing access to vital resources such as oil and uranium. On the other hand, escalating tensions between the U.S. and China could place Kazakhstan in a difficult position, as the country traditionally pursues a multi-vector foreign policy to maintain balance among major powers.
Donald Trump’s 2024 election victory signals a new era in American politics, characterized by a stronger conservative course and growing societal polarization. His return to the White House will significantly influence both U.S. domestic affairs and international relations. For Kazakhstan, this is a time of opportunities and challenges, requiring flexibility and strategic approaches to preserve its position in a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape. The impact of Trump’s presidency will depend on his ability to balance national interests with the need to maintain global stability.
